Dominican Republic Hurricane Predictions for 2018 Season Left Guessing

Dominican Republic Hurricane Predictions for 2018

The Dominican Republic Hurricane Predictions for 2018 season for the Atlantic Ocean, Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean

2018: What the Experts are Saying

Forecasters predict a 35 percent chance of an above-normal season, a 40 percent chance of a near-normal season, and a 25 percent chance of a below-normal season for the upcoming hurricane season, which extends from June 1 to November 30.

With the advances made in hardware and computing over the course of the last year, the ability of NOAA scientists to both predict the path of storms and warn Americans who may find themselves in harm’s way is unprecedented, said Secretary of Commerce Wilbur Ross. The devastating hurricane season of 2017 demonstrated the necessity for prompt and accurate hurricane forecasts.

Dominican Republic Hurricane Predictions for 2018

NOAA’s forecasters predict a 70-percent likelihood of 10 to 16 named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher), of which 5 to 9 could become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher), including 1 to 4 major hurricanes (category 3, 4 or 5; with winds of 111 mph or higher). An average hurricane season produces 12 named storms, of which 6 become hurricanes, including 3 major hurricanes.

Last year we had  two close encounters Irma & Then Maria

 

The possibility of a weak El Nino developing, along with near-average sea surface temperatures across the tropical Atlantic Ocean and Caribbean Sea, are two of the factors driving this outlook. These factors are set upon a backdrop of atmospheric and oceanic conditions that are conducive to hurricane development and have been producing stronger Atlantic hurricane seasons since 1995.

NOAA’s observational and modeling enhancements for the 2018 season put us on the path to deliver the world’s best regional and global weather models, said Neil Jacobs, Ph.D., assistant secretary of commerce for environmental observation and prediction. These upgrades are key to improving hurricane track and intensity forecasts, allowing NOAA to deliver the best science and service to the nation.

On May 31, one day before the season officially began, CSU updated their forecast to include Subtropical Storm Alberto, also decreasing their numbers due to anomalous cooling in the tropical and far northern Atlantic.

Lets Hope that the Dominican Republic Hurricane Predictions for 2018 are a none event as history predicts from past records.